Sydney Sixers vs Perth Scorchers
Sydney Cricket Ground
08:10 (UK TIME)
Liam Livingstone Over 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 1/1 (Bet365) – Livingstone averages 1.25 sixes per T20 innings (106 in 85 games) so evens is statistically the wrong price for a player who had a good MSL in South Africa.
Who Will Score More Runs On Handicap? James Vince vs Ashton Turner – James Vince -2.5 – £10 @ 5/6 (Coral) – Vince is another who had a relatively good MSL in South Africa, he’s moulded himself into a decent T20 player and should have the better of Turner, who looks out of sorts in the Sheffield Shield at the moment.
Ashton Turner Under 0.5 Sixes – £20 @ 8/13 (Coral) – As I mentioned, he’s not been in the best form of late. He’s not known as a power hitter and averages well under a six per game (0.62 per game). Slim price but on a big ground I think it’s a bet.
Total Sydney Sixers 6s – Over 3.5 – £20 @ 4/5 (Bet 365) – 3.5 looks a little low. Although the line for the whole game is 8.5 the Sixers average 3.73 sixes at this ground and the Scorchers have a much changed line up (in terms of absences/new signings from last season) – I personally think they look weaker.
(Added 20:23) Sean Abbott To Score 10 Runs – £5 @ 5/1 (Betfair) – New market which I’ve not seen before so staking small as very much an experiment. Abbott averages 10.23 in T20 cricket but is improving as a batsman – scored 86 and 56 in his last two Sheffield Shield (4 Day) games. He’s scored 2, 17, 24, 20, 3 and 26 in his innings before that so he’s more than capable in the shorter format. We lose if he bats and doesn’t make it but if he’s given the chance 5/1 seems like very reasonable value.
For all P/L on cricket visit: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12jJxMTWk2n0ticEkavYA-GMu9nJlddd4sDptB4nZ1p4/edit#gid=1513194302
Staking Plan ranges from £5 to maximum stake of £30.