Sydney Thunder vs Hobart Hurricanes
Sydney Showground
07:10 (UK TIME) – BT Sport
Sydney Thunder Win – £20 @ 8/11 (William Hill)
Over 8.5 Sixes – £20 @ 5/6 (Spreadex)
Qais Ahmad Over 21.5 Player Performance Points – £20 @ 5/6 (Bet365)
Sydney Thunder To Win – I wasn’t sold on Sydney at the start of this competition but I think they’ve got enough to win here. Both sides have won 3 games with Sydney playing a game more and crucially Hobart have key players missing.
D’Arcy Short is off to India with the International squad and while Matthew Wade is a like for like replacement it does still leave them a bit light up top. He scored 61 of the 126-9 they struggled to in their last game vs Brisbane, albeit it on a sticky wicket. Top wicket-tacker Riley Meredith is a doubt through injury.
Chris Green is banned for the Thunder which is a loss but I think they have enough to win here.
Over 8.5 Sixes – Ground average is 10.11. combined expected averages for the two sides is 10.90 and 10.12. Hobart have the highest average count for sixes in away games (11.70) – although this is probably likely to be lower due to their depleted side. Only game there this season ended with 5 but early Sydney wickets killed their effort in the first innings and the Stars took few risks in a low run chase. I’d expect more here.
Qais Ahmad Over 21.5 Player Performance Points – Ludicrous line yet again. He averages 32.88 in this market which is enough in itself to tip this. He has a wicket (20 points) in 6 of their 7 games with the reduced 11 over a side game the exception, where he bowled 2 overs.
He has got to the crease with the bat on 3 occasions too and it’s likely he will again with their current batting woes. He scored the 2 runs + a wicket to win this in the last game and also has an 11 not out this BBL too. Good fielder as well so catches a possibility also – cracking bet.
Perth Scorchers vs Brisbane Heat
Optus Stadium, Perth
10:10 (UK TIME) – BT Sport
Jhye Richardson Over 22.5 Player Performance Points – £20 @ 5/6 (Bet365)
Mitchell Marsh Over 30.5 Player Performance Points – £20 @ 5/6 (Bet365)
1st Over Score Over 5.5 – £10 @ 10/11 (Betfair)
Jhye Richardson Over 22.5 Player Performance Points – Averages 30.32 in this market. Won in 5/7 Scorchers game this season. Has improved his batting too, scored 33* a couple of games ago, so if he doesn’t get wickets there’s always an outside chance of runs. Got 3 wickets last game.
Mitchell Marsh Over 30.5 Player Performance Points – Average 36.28 in this market in T20 cricket. Has won this market with his batting alone in 3/7 games this BBL. Has bowled sporadically this term but took 2-21 last game so likely he’ll bowl himself again here. Fields in key areas so a catch always possible too.
1st Over Score Over 5.5 – Most of the time this would be an absolute stab in the dark but with these two sides it has legs. Both sets of openers go at it from ball 1. 5/7 Scorchers innings have gone over this line, 4/7 for the Heat which is enough for me. Neither side has a star opening bowler – this has every chance at this price.
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Trader 12 - Blog and Tips. 