Perth Scorchers vs Hobart Hurricanes

Optus Stadium, Perth
10:40 (UK TIME) – BT Sport

Caleb Jewell Under 0.5 Sixes – £20 @ 8/13 – Betfair

Qais Ahmad Over 24.5 Player Performance Points – £20 @ 5/6 – Bet365

Liam Livingstone Over 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 11/10 – Betfair

Caleb Jewell Under 0.5 Sixes – £20 @ 8/13 – Betfair – Might not seem much of a price but he’s hit just 3 sixes in 14 T20 innings – a strike rate of just 0.21 per game

Liam Livingstone Over 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 11/10 – Betfair – Complete wrong price again from Betfair. Averages 1.28 sixes per T20 game (115 sixes in 90 games). Have to bet it at this price. Coral are 8/15.

Qais Ahmad Over 24.5 Player Performance Points – £20 @ 5/6 – Bet365 – Averages 33.48 in this market which is massively over the 24.5 line here. I’ve tipped this 2 times now and has won on each occasion. Has won in 3/4 completed games this BBL. (Market = 20 for a wicket, 10 for a catch, 1 per run). 

For all P/L on cricket visit:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1pmmeYwOTtJ7tsmjNAqnF_fJ2nHo0QFso6Af4M4aDehc/edit#gid=249051954 

Staking Plan ranges from £5 to maximum stake of £30. 

Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades

Melbourne Cricket Ground
08:10 (UK TIME) – BT Sport

Under 9.5 Sixes – £20 @ 8/11 – Betfair

Kane Richardson Over 25.5 Player Performance Points – £10 @ 5/6

Dale Steyn Over 20.5 Player Performance Points – £10 @ 5/6

Under 9.5 Sixes – £20 @ 8/11 – Line is too high in my opinion. Ground averages just 7.76 in Big Bash cricket – has been a low scoring ground in the last few seasons.

Kane Richardson Over 25.5 Player Performance Points – £10 @ 5/6 – Averages 30.98 in this market. Quality player who is bowling to the peak of his powers at the moment. Has had an up and down tournament with 4-22 and 4-33 and then three games without a wicket. He’s picked up catches in 2/5 games too. Often a bowlers game at the MCG so would expect him to be around his average here. (Market = 20 for a wicket, 10 for a catch, 1 per run). 

Dale Steyn Over 20.5 Player Performance Points – £10 @ 5/6 – Much like the Richardson selection. I think this could be a bowlers deck and with the Renegades winless and struggling in the batting department he could have a good day. Averages 27.43 in this market, well above what’s required here. (Market = 20 for a wicket, 10 for a catch, 1 per run). 

For all P/L on cricket visit:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12jJxMTWk2n0ticEkavYA-GMu9nJlddd4sDptB4nZ1p4/edit#gid=1513194302

Staking Plan ranges from £5 to maximum stake of £30. 

Brisbane Heat vs Perth Scorchers

Metricon Stadium, Carrara
08:10 (UK TIME) – BT Sport

Over 12.5 Sixes – £20 @ 1/1 (BF/PP)

Over 12.5 Sixes – £20 @ 1/1 – Wouldn’t say the line is wrong, I’d have been 12.5 too but personnel wise this should go over this line. We’ve seen 11 and 12 sixes in the two games at Metricon this season and there are some real trump cards in these line ups…so I would expect this game to be higher than those. Lynn hit 9 sixes in his last innings, Marsh hit 6 vs Renegades, Liam Livingstone 7 vs Adelaide and Tom Banton 4 in his last innings vs Melbourne Stars – if one of these lads gets going like this it will go a long way to breaking the back of the tally.

For all P/L on cricket visit: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12jJxMTWk2n0ticEkavYA-GMu9nJlddd4sDptB4nZ1p4/edit#gid=1513194302

Staking Plan ranges from £5 to maximum stake of £30. 

Sydney Sixers vs Sydney Thunder

SCG, Sydney
08:10 (UK TIME) – BT Sport

Over 8.5 Sixes – £30 @ 5/6 (Bet365)

Over 8.5 Sixes – £30 @ 5/6 (Bet365) – Far too low this line in my opinion. Although the ground average is 8.65 (so favouring 9 over 8) the last game vs Brisbane Heat ended with 20 sixes just a few days ago. The combined averages suggest this should go 9+, my line was 9.5 at least. It’s a max stakes selection for me.

For all P/L on cricket visit: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12jJxMTWk2n0ticEkavYA-GMu9nJlddd4sDptB4nZ1p4/edit#gid=1513194302

Staking Plan ranges from £5 to maximum stake of £30. 

Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers

Metricon Stadium, Carrara
08:10 (UK TIME) – BT Sport

Phil Salt Under 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 4/5 (Coral)

Nic Maddinson Under 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 1/1 (Betfair)

Marcus Stoinis Under 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 10/11 (Betfair)

Phil Salt Under 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 4/5 (Coral) – Hasn’t got going at all in this BBL  – 0 and 2 in his innings so far. Averages less than a six per game (0.79) and is also likely to be facing up to Dale Steyn opening the bowling.

Nic Maddinson Under 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 1/1 (Betfair) – In some decent form but think his six hitting is overestimated a touch with these odds – averages less than a six per game (0.79 also). Scored a run a ball 40 without a six last game, did however hit one in their opening game. Evs too big though.

Marcus Stoinis Under 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 10/11 (Betfair) – Another price a little too big in my opinion. He’s a top player as we saw in his 81* (4 sixes) in their last game but overall his 6 hitting record isn’t that prolific – he averages just 0.53 sixes. He can be a slow starter (as we saw in their opener) and I think he might struggle against this particular line up.

For all P/L on cricket visit: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12jJxMTWk2n0ticEkavYA-GMu9nJlddd4sDptB4nZ1p4/edit#gid=1513194302

Staking Plan ranges from £5 to maximum stake of £30. 

Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Sixers

Optus Stadium, Perth
08:10 (UK TIME) – BT Sport

Perth Scorchers Most Sixes – £20 @ 1/1 (Various)

Liam Livingstone Over 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 1/1 (Betfair)

Daniel Hughes Under 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 8/13 (Betfair)

Josh Phillipe Under 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 10/11 (Coral)

Sean Abbott Over 29.5 Player Performance Points – £20 @ 5/6 (Bet365)

Perth Scorchers Most Sixes – £20 @ 1/1 (Various) – Taken a while to get going but feel they seem to be warming into the comp. They hit 11 sixes when winning this market vs Renegades at this ground just a few days ago and then followed that up with a further 9 at Adelaide when again winning this market. Since these two met in Game 2, Sydney have scored 4 and 5 sixes in their two games since, losing this market on 1/2 occasions.

Liam Livingstone Over 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ Evs (Betfair) – Averages 1.37 sixes per game. Scored 7 sixes in his last game, 2 in the game before that. Total wrong price.

Under 0.5 Sixes is 6/5 with Coral so any big stakers can get a free bet on that selection by backing both, if that way inclined. 

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Daniel Hughes Under 0.5 Sixes –  £10 @ 8/13 (Betfair) – Not had a great BBL so far, scored 22 in the Sixers opening game (hitting 1 six) followed by two failures (2 and 8). Only averages 0.49 sixes per game anyway so even if he does get in, not a guarantee to hit a six. As short as 4/11 in places.

Josh Phillipe Under 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 10/11 (Coral) – Started off the BBL with a blistering 81 and then followed it up with two fair scores of 24 and 15. He’s hit a six in 2/3 innings but I just saw signs of struggle in his last innings which was on a good wicket. Dangerous to say he’s a due a failure but he is. He averages just 0.58 sixes per game too so we’re getting a fair price considering he’s a lot shorter with other bookies.

Sean Abbott Over 29.5 Player Performance – £20 @ 5/6 (Bet365) – Averages 35.49 for T20s in this Player Performance market – that means he averages at least a wicket (20 points) and a catch (10 points) at the very minimum, which would do us here. He averages 10.23 with the bat as well so offers a viable option to top up his PPP score if he does get to the crease.

For all P/L on cricket visit: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12jJxMTWk2n0ticEkavYA-GMu9nJlddd4sDptB4nZ1p4/edit#gid=1513194302

Staking Plan ranges from £5 to maximum stake of £30. 

Adelaide Strikers vs Perth Scorchers

Adelaide Oval
08:10 (UK TIME)

Under 12.5 Sixes – £10 @ 4/5 (Betfair)

Phil Salt Under 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 4/5 (Bet365)

Ashton Turner Under 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 5/6 (Coral) 

Under 12.5 Sixes – £10 @ 4/5 (Betfair) – I made the line for this game 10.5, perhaps 11.5 at a push (general industry line) but I think 12.5 is too high. The ground averages 11.16 sixes in T20 cricket, 11.10 in the last 3 seasons. Combined averages for the two sides churn out figures around 9.80 – 10.20 so I make this a play.

Phil Salt Under 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 4/5 (Bet365) – Not been in the best of form recently – scored a 5 ball duck in their opening game. Averages 0.80 sixes per game. 

Ashton Turner Under 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 5/6 (Coral) – I like opposing Turner in games away from Perth. He has been in awful form recently although did get a score last game which included a six (at Perth). This bet won in the first game and I fancy it again here. 

For all P/L on cricket visit: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12jJxMTWk2n0ticEkavYA-GMu9nJlddd4sDptB4nZ1p4/edit#gid=1513194302

Staking Plan ranges from £5 to maximum stake of £30. 

Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes

Ted Summerton Reserve, Moe
03:45 (UK TIME) – BT Sport

Under 12.5 Sixes –  £20 @ 10/11 (Coral) 

Qais Ahmad Over 24.5 Player Performance Points – £10 @ 5/6 (Bet365). 

Under 12.5 Sixes –  £20 @ 10/11 (Coral)  – Just the second BBL game to be played at the Ted Summerton Reserve, the first game was in last year’s edition when the Stars hosted the Strikers in January – that game ended with 5 sixes. This is a big ground and it’s going to take some doing to clear the ropes on the regular. Industry split at 11.5 and 12.5 but my projected line was below even that so this is a bet.

Qais Ahmad Over 24.5 Player Performance Points – £10 @ 5/6 (Bet365) – Said in my write up for his first game on Friday that this line is wrong. He averages 34.83 Player Performance Points per T20. He got 4 wickets in that game and 7 runs, totalling 87 PPP’s. Has won in all 5 games he’s played in the Big Bash.

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Sydney Sixers vs Brisbane Heat

Sydney Cricket Ground
08:10 (UK TIME) – BT Sport

Sean Abbott Over 28.5 Player Performance – £20 @ 5/6 (Bet365)

Sean Abbott Over 28.5 Player Performance – £20 @ 5/6 (Bet365) – Much like the Qais Ahmad tip it’s a similar story here – he averages 34 for T20s in this Player Performance market – that means he averages at least a wicket and a catch at the very minimum, which would do us here. If his line was 30+ we’d need a wicket and 2 catches, 2 wickets etc so with the line being lower than that it’s a no brainer. He averages 10 with the bat so if he does get a chance down the order we’d be in the running with that too.

For all P/L on cricket visit: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12jJxMTWk2n0ticEkavYA-GMu9nJlddd4sDptB4nZ1p4/edit#gid=1513194302

Staking Plan ranges from £5 to maximum stake of £30. 

Sydney Thunder vs Adelaide Strikers

Canberra
07:10 (UK TIME) – BT Sport

Under 12.5 Sixes –  £20 @ 10/11 (Coral) 

Under 12.5 Sixes –  £20 @ 10/11 (Coral)  – Industry appears to be favouring Under 11.5 at shorter prices than we’re getting here for a higher line. 3 of the 4 T20s at this venue have finished under this line – the most recent being Aus vs Pak just last month, which ended with 4 sixes. Both Thunder games have gone under this line also.

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Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Renegades

Optus Stadium, Perth
10:10 (UK TIME) – BT Sport

Melbourne Renegades to beat Perth Scorchers –  £20 @ 5/6 (Betfair)

Over 10.5 Sixes – £20 @ 10/11 (Coral)

Melbourne Renegades to beat Perth Scorchers –  £20 @ 5/6 (Betfair) – Renegades have the best away record in the Big Bash (58% win rate) and I think they were a little unlucky in defeat against Sydney Thunder the other day. Perth showed their frailties in their opener against the same opponent, losing comfortably. They’ve lost plenty of players from last season and the new players will take a while to gel – I think the Renegades are the play.

Over 10.5 Sixes – £20 @ 10/11 (Coral) – Ground average is 10.71 in Big Bash cricket at Optus. Tipped Renegades Most Sixes in their last game when they won this market 5-3 and a few of the players I expected to fire, didn’t. That was on a ground that had a much lower average than this one and I think they might fare better here against this attack. Livingstone leads the prospects for six hitting in the Perth ranks but isn’t alone with plenty more than capable.

For all P/L on cricket visit: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12jJxMTWk2n0ticEkavYA-GMu9nJlddd4sDptB4nZ1p4/edit#gid=1513194302

Staking Plan ranges from £5 to maximum stake of £30. 

Hobart Hurricanes vs Sydney Sixers

Alice Springs
03:45 (UK TIME) – BT Sport

Sydney Sixers to beat Hobart Hurricanes – £10 @ 1/1 (Various) 

Over 9.5 Sixes – £20 @ 10/11 (Coral)

Caleb Jewell Under 0.5 Sixes – £20 @ 4/6 (Betfair)

Qais Ahmad Over 24.5 Player Performance Points – £10 @ 1/1 (Bet365)

Sydney Sixers to beat Hobart Hurricanes – £10 @ 1/1 (Various)  – Although listed as a home fixture, this is far from it for Hobart. Alice Springs is in Northern Territories – far away from Tasmania. Looking at both sides away records, Sixers have a far superior percentage (52.63%) compared to that of Hobart (44.74%). The Sixers produced a very impressive performance in sweeping aside Perth on Wednesday and will welcome a quick turnaround with momentum so important. H2H is 5-5 and the odds do suggest it’s going to be a close one but I fancy Sydney to pinch this one.

Over 9.5 Sixes – £20 @ 10/11 (Coral) – Only one previous BBL game at this venue (ended with 6) so no sample size to use stats with this one but looking at these line ups there surely has to be sixes flying around here. Short, Miller, McDermott, Philippe, Hughes etc are all capable of making a hole in this total and the most recent picture I saw of the ground suggest the wicket could be a belter.

Caleb Jewell Under 0.5 Sixes – £20 @ 4/6 (Betfair) – Not sure this price is correct. Second season in BBL cricket for this 22 year old. He started off the domestic 4 day campaign in good form but his form has dropped off a cliff with scores of 14, 10, 24, 3, 8, 9, 1 and most recently 3. Averages 0.22 sixes per T20 innings – it’s a bet at these odds.

Qais Ahmad Over 24.5 Player Performance Points – £10 @ 1/1 (Bet365) – This is the wrong line for him. He currently averages 33.46 in this market in T20 cricket. He averages well over a wicket per game (1.26), has a useful batting average of 14.25 if required and can always pick up a catch here and there. Won this market in all 3 BBL games he played last season. (Market = 20 for a wicket, 10 for a catch, 1 per run). 

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Brisbane Heat vs Melbourne Stars

Metricon Stadium, Canberra
08:10 (UK TIME) – BT Sport

Ben Laughlin Over 20.5 Player Performance Points – £20 @ 5/6 (Betfair)

Ben Laughlin Over 20.5 Player Performance Points – £20 @ 5/6 (Betfair) – Laughlin averages 28.48 PPP per T20 match. He averages a healthy 1.22 wickets per game and this tournament is by far is best in terms of performance. He won this market in the opening game vs Sydney Thunder with one wicket and bonus of 7 runs. If the Heat bat like they did in the last game there’s every chance he could get a bat again and it might be a case of just needing those 2 runs (if he gets a wicket). (Market = 20 for a wicket, 10 for a catch, 1 per run). 

For all P/L on cricket visit: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12jJxMTWk2n0ticEkavYA-GMu9nJlddd4sDptB4nZ1p4/edit#gid=1513194302

Staking Plan ranges from £5 to maximum stake of £30.