Melbourne Renegades vs Sydney Thunder

GMBHA Stadium, Geelong
08:10 (UK TIME)

Melbourne Renegades to Win – £20 @ 8/11 (Various)

Melbourne Renegades to Hit Most 6s – £10 @ 5/6 (Spreadex)

This game is being played up in Geelong instead of the Marvel Stadium so I don’t really want to get too heavily involved in six hitting markets etc without reliable statistics. However, having looked at these line ups I do think there is a stand out selection in the sixes market.

Melbourne Renegades to Hit Most 6s – Sydney Thunder did beat Brisbane at the Gabba on Tuesday but comprehensively lost this market 8-4. The Renegades, like Brisbane, have power hitters in their side – most notably Aaron Finch and Shaun Marsh. Sam Harper proved to be a useful hitter despite his small stature last season and Dan Christian offers useful firepower in the middle order and comparing the two sides they have more avenues for sixes.

Sydney have an inexperienced bowling line up including three spinners, Arjun Nair, Chris Green and Jono Cook and no real experienced pace options either and I’d expect at least one or two of those to have a bad day.

It’s the inexperienced bowling line up which leads me onto my second and final tip, Melbourne Renegades to Win – £20 @ 8/11 (Various). Let’s remember that Melbourne won this competition last season and have a pretty similar side this year.

Finch has been in supreme form for Australia and very rarely fails for the Renegades so when you add in last years top wicket-taker Kane Richardson (24 wickets), world class all rounder Mohammed Nabi and experienced T20 players Gurney, Cooper, Christian and Cam Boyce it makes for a much more attractive line up than that of the visiting side, in my opinion.

For all P/L on cricket visit: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12jJxMTWk2n0ticEkavYA-GMu9nJlddd4sDptB4nZ1p4/edit#gid=1513194302

Staking Plan ranges from £5 to maximum stake of £30. 

Sydney Sixers vs Perth Scorchers

Sydney Cricket Ground
08:10 (UK TIME)

Liam Livingstone Over 0.5 Sixes – £10 @ 1/1 (Bet365) – Livingstone averages 1.25 sixes per T20 innings (106 in 85 games) so evens is statistically the wrong price for a player who had a good MSL in South Africa.

Who Will Score More Runs On Handicap? James Vince vs Ashton Turner – James Vince -2.5 – £10 @ 5/6 (Coral) – Vince is another who had a relatively good MSL in South Africa, he’s moulded himself into a decent T20 player and should have the better of Turner, who looks out of sorts in the Sheffield Shield at the moment.

Ashton Turner Under 0.5 Sixes – £20 @ 8/13 (Coral) – As I mentioned, he’s not been in the best form of late. He’s not known as a power hitter and averages well under a six per game (0.62 per game). Slim price but on a big ground I think it’s a bet.

Total Sydney Sixers 6s – Over 3.5 – £20 @ 4/5 (Bet 365) – 3.5 looks a little low. Although the line for the whole game is 8.5 the Sixers average 3.73 sixes at this ground and the Scorchers have a much changed line up (in terms of absences/new signings from last season) – I personally think they look weaker.

(Added 20:23) Sean Abbott To Score 10 Runs – £5 @ 5/1 (Betfair) – New market which I’ve not seen before so staking small as very much an experiment. Abbott averages 10.23 in T20 cricket but is improving as a batsman – scored 86 and 56 in his last two Sheffield Shield (4 Day) games. He’s scored 2, 17, 24, 20, 3 and 26 in his innings before that so he’s more than capable in the shorter format. We lose if he bats and doesn’t make it but if he’s given the chance 5/1 seems like very reasonable value.

For all P/L on cricket visit: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12jJxMTWk2n0ticEkavYA-GMu9nJlddd4sDptB4nZ1p4/edit#gid=1513194302

Staking Plan ranges from £5 to maximum stake of £30.